Deterioration Model Results

After you run a deterioration model, you can view the results per asset or per group. Use the Assets view to inspect individual assets and their Failure Grade, or Groups to compare deterioration curves and see when each group crosses the failure threshold.

Note: Results from Deterioration Models and Failure Definitions can also be used in risk configurations and rehabilitation decision trees, so you can apply condition and failure insights across your workflows.
Note: Results are probabilistic estimates based on the selected failure definition, group configuration, curve method, and available asset data. Use them to support engineering judgment, planning, and budget decisions.

How to read a result

There are three important pieces of information for each asset:

High Failure Probability + low Remaining Useful Life = higher risk (a Concerning or Critical grade) - those are the assets to review first. To see why any single asset got its scores, select See curve at the end of its row in the table.

Assets view

Failure Grade cards.

A card for each grade - Critical, Concerning, Moderate, Stable, Optimal - shows the number of assets in that grade, their total length, and the percentage of all modeled assets.

Select a card (or its See breakdown link) to break that grade's assets down by Material, Diameter, and Year Laid - shown as charts with the percentage and asset count for each. Select Hide breakdown to close it.

Search. Find an asset by Asset ID or another searchable value.

The asset table includes:

How results are calculated

On any asset row, select See curve to view the asset on its group's survival curve. You'll see its current age, its current failure probability, its position on the curve, and when it's expected to reach the 80% failure threshold - plus a plain-language summary, for example: "This asset is 87 years old with a 22% failure probability. It's expected to reach the 80% failure threshold in approximately 44 years." This helps you understand why an asset received its scores and defend the decisions that follow. For how the scores are modeled, see About Survival Curves and About Failure Grades

Export. Select Export to download the results (the export includes all results, not only the current page).

Why some assets have no results.

There are two reasons an asset may not have a full set of results:

  1. Its group has no survival curve. If an asset group's curve method is undefined, that group is excluded from the model run, so its assets don't get deterioration results. A group's method may be undefined if:
    1. no failure definition was selected for the model, or
    2. the group has fewer than 5 failures for the selected failure definition - not enough data to fit a curve (a group needs at least 5).

    To include these assets, assign a survival curve method to the affected groups on the Configuration tab, then run the model again. See Select Survival Curve Method.

  2. The asset has no installation date. If an asset is missing its installation date, its age can't be calculated, so it can't be placed on the survival curve. The asset still appears in the table, but its Failure Probability, RUL Years (80%), and Expected Failure Year show as "—". Add the installation date to the asset and re-run the model to get results for it.

Groups view

The Groups view tab The Groups tab shows how each asset group deteriorates as a whole, so you can compare groups instead of looking at assets one by one.

The chart - cumulative failure probability over time. Each colored line is one asset group. The line shows the group's cumulative failure probability - the share of the group expected to have failed by a given age. It starts low and rises toward 100% as assets age; the steeper the line, the faster that group is deteriorating.

Use it to answer questions like:

The group table includes:

Select Show assets to open the Assets view filtered to that group. Use the toolbar to filter, refresh, or export the group results.

Using the results

The deterioration results turn "we can't inspect everything" into a clear, network-wide view of where to act first. Use them to:

Take the results further - into risk and rehabilitation workflows. Deterioration outputs don't have to stay on this page. You can bring Failure Grade, Remaining Useful Life (RUL), and Failure Probability into your:

This connects prediction to action: the model tells you what's likely to fail and when, and your risk and rehab workflows turn that into what to do about it.